Монгол улсын дараагийн алхам юу вэ? 12 дугаар сар

Briefing

11 December 2015

2 MIN READ

1 AUTHOR

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???, ?????, ??????? ?????, ???, ???? ??? ????????? ?? ???????? ???? ????????? ????????? ????? ?????? ??????? ?? ???????????? 88%-??? ????????? ?????? ????? ????????? ??????? ?????. ??????, ???????? ????? ????? ?? ???? ????? ???????? ????? ????? ?????-?? ???????? ??????????? ???? ??????????? ??. ?????? ????? ??????? ???????? ???????????? ???????????? ???????? ???? ?????; ???????? ????? ??????? ????? ?? 2014 ??? 7.8%-??? 2015 ??? ???? ????? ?????? 3.0% ??????? ??????? ?????. ????? ???????? ?????? ???????? ???????????, ????? ?? 2015 ??? 2.3%-? ???? ??????? ???? ?????????? ????? ?????? 2016 ??? ???? ?????????? ?????? 3.0%-? ????? ???????? ?????.

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?????? ??? ?? ??? ???? ???? ????? ??????? ?????? ??????? ????? ??????? ??????, 1.5 ?????? ??.???????? ?????? ?????? 2012 ??? 11 ???? ?????? ?? ????? ????????? 2018 ??? ????? 2022 ??? ??????? ????????? ?????. ???????? ??????? ????? ?? ??? ???? ?????? ????????? ???????? ???????? ??????? ?????? ????? (???? ??? ?????? ????? ???????? 500 ??? ??.???????? ???? ????????? ???? ???????) ?????? 2017 ????? 2020 ??? ????? ????????? ??????? ?? ?????? ?????? ?????.

?????? ????????? ?????? ????? ???????? ???? ?? ???????? ?????? ????? ?????? ?????, ???????????? ????????? ??????? ????????????? ?? 2017 ??? ????? 580 ??? ??.???????? ?????? ?????? ???? ????? ??. ?????-?? ????? ??????? ?????? ???? ???? 3 ?????? ???????? ?????? ??????? ???????? ???? ???????? ?????? 15 ?????? ?????? (2.4 ?????? ??.??????) ???????? ????????? ????? ??????? ?? 2017 ??? ??? ?????????? ??????, ????? ?????????? ??????????? ?????? ?????. ????????, 1 ?????? ?????? (161.1 ??? ??.??????) ??????-?????? ?????????? ??? ??? ?????? ??? 6 ?????? ???? ??????????? ?????.

???? ???????? ????? ???????????? ?? ????????? ????? ????? ???????????? ??????? ?????? ??? ?? ????????? ???????? ?????? ?????? ????????? ?? ??????????? ?????? ??. Moody’s ??????????? ?????? ????? ??????? ?????????? ????????? ???? ???? ????? ?????? ????? ????? ????????? ?????? ??????? ????? ??????? ??????????? ?????????????? ?????? ??? ?? 203.7%-??? ??? ?????? ?????. ???????? Fitch ??????????? ??????????? ???? ???? ????? ?????? ????? ?????? ???-??? ??????????? ???????? ?????? ??? ?? 129.8%-??? ?????????? ??? ????????? ????? ????????? ?????. ?????? ???????? ?? 2017 ?? ????? ???? 119.8% ????? ???????? ?????? ?? ?????.

??? ?????? ????? ?????? ????? ????? ?????????? ????? ??????? ???????? ?????? ?????? ??????? ???????? ??????? ?????? ?????? ?????? ????? ???????? ?????? ???? ?????????? 100 ??????? ????? ????? ????? ????????? ??????????????? 85 ??????? ????? ????? ???????? ?????? ?????? ?????? ?????. ??????, ????? ?????? ???????????? ?????? ???????? ???? ????? ???? ???????? ??????? ???? ????????? ?????? ??????? ????? ???????? ????? ?????? ??. ???????? ???????? ???? ?????-? ??????? ???? ?? ??????? ?????? ????????? ??????? ?????????? ????? ??????? ??????????? ?????? ? ??????????? ??????? ???? ???? ???????? ?????.

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?????-?? ????? ??????? ??????????? ?????????? ???????? ????? ????? ????? ?????????? ?????????? ?????, ???? ?????????????? ?????? ????? ????? ?????? ????? ??? ?????????? ?????? ??????? ???????? ???????? ??????? ????? ????? ?????? ????????? ?????. ?????? ????? ??? ??????? ??????? ??? ??????? ???? ??? ???? ?? ????? ????????? ?????? ??? ??????? ?????? ??? ?????-??? ???? ??? ??????? ??. ?????? ?????? ???????? ????? ??? ??? ???, ???? ???? ??? ????? ??? ????? ????? ???????? ??????? ????? ?? ??????? ??? ???????? ???????? ??????? ???????? ?????? ??????? ????? ?????? ??. ??????? ? ????? ??? ????????? ???????????? ?????? ??? ?? ??? ?????-??? ??????? ??????? ??????? ??????????? ???????? ?????????? ??????? ?????? ?? ??????? ??????????.

HFW ???? ????????? ?????? ????? ???

HFW ?? ???? ????? ??????? ????????? ??????? ?????? ??? ???????? ????? ?????? ?????????, ?????? ??????????? ??????? ????? ?????? ???????????? ??????? ??????? ????????? ????? ?????? ??????????? ??????? ??. ??? ?????? ????? ????? ??????? ??????? ?????????? ???? ????????? ????? ????? ??? ???????? ???????? ??????, ?????? ???????????? ?? ??????? ??? ????-?? ??????? ?????? ???????? ???????? ???????? ????? ????????? ????????? ???????? ??????? ??????????? ?????????????? ?? ?????????????? ????? ??????? ??????? ???????? ??? ????????? ????????? ??????? ??. ??? ????????? ?????? ??????? ???? ???????? ????? ?? ???? ?????? ???????? ????? ??????????????? ?????? ?? ????????? ??????????? ?????? ?????? ????? ??? ????? ?????? ??. ????? ??????? ?????????? ???????, ?????? ?????? ?? ?????? ?????? ????? ???? ??????? ??????, ?????? ?????????, ?????? ??????????? ????????? ?????? ????? ?? ???????? ?????? ?????? ??? ???????? ?????.

??????????? ???????? ?????? ?????? Brian Gordon, ??????? ??????????? ????????? ?????? +65 6411 5333 ????? ?-??????? brian.gordon@hfw.com, ????? Nick Hutton, ??????? ??????????? ????????? ?????? +44 (0)20 7264 8254 ????? ?-??????? nick.hutton@hfw.com ????? ?????? ??????? HFW-??? ???????????? ?????? ?????? ??. ???????? ?????? Sammy Beedan, ??????????? ??????.