What happens when the wheels come off in a commodities supercycle?
The press is full of speculation as to whether we are entering a commodities “supercycle”, a period when the market sees prices rise higher than the long-term trend for more than ten years, followed by a downturn of similar length as supply catches up with demand. In this briefing, we consider what commodities traders should bear in mind as they negotiate contracts now, in the midst of a boom, so that they are better protected when demand and prices fall.
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